Morgan Stanley issues 'sell chips' as Samsung, SK Hynix tumble despite record Q2 earnings
South Korea's Kospi index plunged 4.1% on July 7 as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix extended losses despite reporting record second-quarter earnings. Samsung shares fell 7.4% after announcing 89.4 trillion won ($89.4 billion) in operating profit—record Q2 results—while SK Hynix declined 5.9% ahead of its planned July 10 Nasdaq ADR launch. Global semiconductor stocks tumbled in sympathy, with Hong Kong-listed semiconductor foundries SMIC (-11%), Hua Hong Grace (-14%), and Chinese AI chip firms plunging 17–18%.
Morgan Stanley issued a "sell chips" recommendation, arguing that the semiconductor-centered AI rally is ending and market leadership is broadening to hyperscalers. Analysts flagged profit-taking by long-only investors as the catalyst: despite record earnings, shares sank because strong results were already priced in. Morgan Stanley noted that memory chip demand, while robust for AI use cases, faces longer-term oversupply risk as manufacturers build new capacity not expected to come online until 2027. The bank forecast that Meta's recent announcement to sell surplus AI computing capacity externally signals a structural shift—away from single-chip dependency and toward broader infrastructure plays.
For production teams, the volatility highlights a crucial tension: AI memory chip demand remains genuine and supply-constrained through 2026, but publicly traded memory makers face valuation reset as investors recalibrate risk. This suggests sustained pricing power for HBM and DDR5 in near term, but architects should monitor capacity announcements from South Korea and Taiwan for signs of the 2027 inflection.